Retail inflation hits 22-month high of 5.77% in June, IIP growth subdued

Showing feeble signs of recovery, industrial production grew by 1.2 percent in May, but retail inflation touched a 22-month high of 5.77 percent in June, squeezing headroom for a rate cut by Reserve Bank.

Retail inflation hits 22-month high of 5.77% in June, IIP growth subdued
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New Delhi: Showing feeble signs of recovery, industrial production grew by 1.2 percent in May, but retail inflation touched a 22-month high of 5.77 percent in June, squeezing headroom for a rate cut by Reserve Bank.

Industrial production rebounded from a contraction of 1.35 percent in the previous month, but growth was subdued at 1.2 percent in May and mainly due to some uptick in consumer durables output and manufacturing activity.

Factory output, measured in terms of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), had expanded by 2.5 percent in May last year.

However, on cumulative basis, factory output in April-May contracted 0.1 percent compared with 2.8 percent growth in the year-ago period, the data released by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) showed today.

The retail inflation measured on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was marginally lower at 5.76 percent in May, while it was 5.40 percent in June last year.

In August 2014, consumer inflation was at 7.8 percent.

Overall food inflation moved up to 7.79 percent in June from 7.47 percent in the previous month.

Inflation in vegetables was up at 14.74 percent as against 10.77 percent in May and in cereals and related products it was 3.07 percent compared to 2.59 percent in the previous month.

With inflation remaining at an elevated level and above the 5 percent-mark, RBI's next monetary policy review on August 9, would be keenly watched as inflation targetting has been the main objective of the apex bank.

"The growth in manufacturing remains subdued and is a cause for concern. Weak consumer and investment demand points to the fact that recovery is going to be slow in manufacturing and the need for addressing more deep rooted structural issues," said FICCI Secretary General A Didar Singh.

Terming the latest IIP numbers fragile, industry chamber Assocham urged the policymakers to address structural problem in the economy where demand for capital is lacking because of excess capacity, slow growth in new orders, high leverage and supply of capital is lacking because of rising NPAs, mounting losses with banks, limited availability of capital for lending.

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